June – Monthly Update For Current Year 2020 Exchange Rate Forecast

June – Monthly Update For Current Year 2020 Exchange Rate Forecast

Results of May, based on statistics on the impact of the coronavirus crisis (COVID-19) on Ukraine’s economy and the balance of payments, as well as influenced by the positive signal on loan allocation by the IMF, improved our YE 2020 exchange rate based on our forecast model of Ukraine’s balance… Read More »June – Monthly Update For Current Year 2020 Exchange Rate Forecast

Odds on favorite to replace Smolii at central bank is Serhiy Kruglyk– Mykhailo Kukhar

Serhiy Kruglyk, who headed the National Bank of Ukraine’s International Department for more than a decade and oversaw the central bank’s relations with the IMF and World Bank, has best chances replace Yakiv Smolii has central bank governor, according to Ukraine Economic Outlook Chief Economist Mykhailo Kukhar. “Kyrylo Shevchenko (Ukrgasbank… Read More »Odds on favorite to replace Smolii at central bank is Serhiy Kruglyk– Mykhailo Kukhar

Macroeconomic Forecast 2019: Deviations from UEO’s forecast and those of IFIs

Ukraine’s State Statistics Service has published final values for key macro-indicators of 2019. Real GDP growth in Q4 decreased to 1.5% against 4.6% and 4.1% in Q2 and Q3. Annual growth was 3.2%, according to the service. The total increase in prices in the economy, against the backdrop of industrial… Read More »Macroeconomic Forecast 2019: Deviations from UEO’s forecast and those of IFIs

EXPRESS-COMMENTARY BY UKRAINE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ON SHARP DOWNTURN OF COUNTRY’S ECONOMIC SITUATION: “REACTIONS BY GOVERNMENT AND CENTRAL BANK TO THE PROBLEM ARE INCOMPLETE AND INSUFFICIENT”

(Monthly advisory for clients, with a special section on recommendations for financial authorities: Special ed.) 28.01.2020 Mykhailo Kukhar, Grigory Kukuruza, Mykola Lesyk, Adrian Pantiukhov Independent group of macroeconomic analysis and forecasting Ukraine Economic Outlook Even before the publication of complete statistical data for 2019 available to business and the public,… Read More »EXPRESS-COMMENTARY BY UKRAINE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ON SHARP DOWNTURN OF COUNTRY’S ECONOMIC SITUATION: “REACTIONS BY GOVERNMENT AND CENTRAL BANK TO THE PROBLEM ARE INCOMPLETE AND INSUFFICIENT”

Cost of Crimea: comparative characteristics of Russian and Ukrainian economies

Original source: Seeking Alpha – “Comparative characteristics of Russian, Ukrainian economies” Five years ago, anti-government demonstrations in Kyiv forced the country’s president to flee to Russia. Some of you may remember that situation from watching TV news. Others may not recall it at all. Before I begin, let me first… Read More »Cost of Crimea: comparative characteristics of Russian and Ukrainian economies