UEO Macroeconomic Forecast for 2020 (19/05/2020)
Official release of the Independent Group of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting Ukraine Economic Outlook: The following calculation was made on the basis of a recalculation of energy import volumes in 2019, taking into account the seasonal factor (monthly) for coal, oil and gas prices for futures quotes until the end… Read More »Ukraine can save $ 5,7 bln on energy import
Ukraine’s State Statistics Service has published final values for key macro-indicators of 2019. Real GDP growth in Q4 decreased to 1.5% against 4.6% and 4.1% in Q2 and Q3. Annual growth was 3.2%, according to the service. The total increase in prices in the economy, against the backdrop of industrial… Read More »Macroeconomic Forecast 2019: Deviations from UEO’s forecast and those of IFIs
EXPRESS-COMMENTARY BY UKRAINE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ON SHARP DOWNTURN OF COUNTRY’S ECONOMIC SITUATION: “REACTIONS BY GOVERNMENT AND CENTRAL BANK TO THE PROBLEM ARE INCOMPLETE AND INSUFFICIENT”
(Monthly advisory for clients, with a special section on recommendations for financial authorities: Special ed.) 28.01.2020 Mykhailo Kukhar, Grigory Kukuruza, Mykola Lesyk, Adrian Pantiukhov Independent group of macroeconomic analysis and forecasting Ukraine Economic Outlook Even before the publication of complete statistical data for 2019 available to business and the public,… Read More »EXPRESS-COMMENTARY BY UKRAINE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ON SHARP DOWNTURN OF COUNTRY’S ECONOMIC SITUATION: “REACTIONS BY GOVERNMENT AND CENTRAL BANK TO THE PROBLEM ARE INCOMPLETE AND INSUFFICIENT”
Our basic forecast for the development of the Ukrainian economy in 2020 provides for two scenarios: Scenario A (subject to maintaining the current NBU policy on the so-called inflation targeting), assumes maintenance of the current trend of the hryvnia revaluation.
Original source: Seeking Alpha – “Comparative characteristics of Russian, Ukrainian economies” Five years ago, anti-government demonstrations in Kyiv forced the country’s president to flee to Russia. Some of you may remember that situation from watching TV news. Others may not recall it at all. Before I begin, let me first… Read More »Cost of Crimea: comparative characteristics of Russian and Ukrainian economies