Official release of the Independent Group of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting Ukraine Economic Outlook: The following calculation was made on the basis of a recalculation of energy import volumes in 2019, taking into account the seasonal factor (monthly) for coal, oil and gas prices for futures quotes until the end… Read More »Ukraine can save $ 5,7 bln on energy import
Events in March were the most turbulent of the year, due to fallout from the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. They led to the devaluation of the hryvnia from 24.5 to 28.2 UAH/USD and changed our exchange rate forecast for the current year. According to our group’s forecast calculations detailed in this… Read More »June – Monthly Update For Current Year 2020 Exchange Rate Forecast
Ukraine’s State Statistics Service has published final values for key macro-indicators of 2019. Real GDP growth in Q4 decreased to 1.5% against 4.6% and 4.1% in Q2 and Q3. Annual growth was 3.2%, according to the service. The total increase in prices in the economy, against the backdrop of industrial… Read More »Macroeconomic Forecast 2019: Deviations from UEO’s forecast and those of IFIs
(Monthly advisory for clients, with a special section on recommendations for financial authorities: Special ed.) 28.01.2020 Mykhailo Kukhar, Grigory Kukuruza, Mykola Lesyk, Adrian Pantiukhov Independent group of macroeconomic analysis and forecasting Ukraine Economic Outlook Even before the publication of complete statistical data for 2019 available to business and the public,… Read More »EXPRESS-COMMENTARY BY UKRAINE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ON SHARP DOWNTURN OF COUNTRY’S ECONOMIC SITUATION: “REACTIONS BY GOVERNMENT AND CENTRAL BANK TO THE PROBLEM ARE INCOMPLETE AND INSUFFICIENT”
Full materials of Lecture Hall 2019 – Speakers’ presentations