Our basic forecast for the development of the Ukrainian economy in 2020 provides for two scenarios: Scenario A (subject to maintaining the current NBU policy on the so-called inflation targeting), assumes maintenance of the current trend of the hryvnia revaluation.
The announcement on May 20, 2019 of the dissolution of the parliament, made during the inaugural speech of the President Volodymyr Zelensky, followed by thye subsequent announcement of Prime Minister Volodymyr Groysman’s resignation, forces us to revise our previous forecast for Ukraine’s macroeconomic stability. Our previous forecast was STABLE with… Read More »POLITICAL EVENTS IN UKRAINE ON MAY 20 CHANGE MACROECONOMIC FORECAST FROM “STABLE” TO “AT RISK”
Forecast of key macroeconimic indicators for Ukrainian economy until 2022, results of Economic Lecture Hall – 2018
In 2018, the dollar equivalent of Ukraine’s GDP will be $130.5 billion. The growth of 16.8% is mainly due to the positive dynamics of commodity prices. Net raw materials export of Ukraine in 2018 will total $9.3 billion, compared to $7.1 billion in 2017 (mainly due to the increase of… Read More »Forecast of key macroeconimic indicators for Ukrainian economy until 2022, results of Economic Lecture Hall – 2018
Cumulative inflation in Ukraine for 2016 has already reached 46%. According to our forecast, it will be 52%–53% by year end. Ukraine’s Finance Ministry and National Bank (NBU) “official inflation forecast” for 2016 is12% (the same forecast made at the start of 2015). We at the IMF Group, after… Read More »2016 inflation forecast