Forecast

POLITICAL EVENTS IN UKRAINE ON MAY 20 CHANGE MACROECONOMIC FORECAST FROM “STABLE” TO “AT RISK”

The announcement on May 20, 2019 of the dissolution of the parliament, made during the inaugural speech of the President Volodymyr Zelensky, followed by thye subsequent announcement of Prime Minister Volodymyr Groysman’s resignation, forces us to revise our previous forecast for Ukraine’s macroeconomic stability. Our previous forecast was STABLE with… Read More »POLITICAL EVENTS IN UKRAINE ON MAY 20 CHANGE MACROECONOMIC FORECAST FROM “STABLE” TO “AT RISK”

Forecast of key macroeconimic indicators for Ukrainian economy until 2022, results of Economic Lecture Hall – 2018

In 2018, the dollar equivalent of Ukraine’s GDP will be $130.5 billion. The growth of 16.8% is mainly due to the positive dynamics of commodity prices. Net raw materials export of Ukraine in 2018 will total $9.3 billion, compared to $7.1 billion in 2017 (mainly due to the increase of… Read More »Forecast of key macroeconimic indicators for Ukrainian economy until 2022, results of Economic Lecture Hall – 2018

2016 inflation forecast

  Cumulative inflation in Ukraine for 2016 has already reached 46%. According to our forecast, it will be 52%–53% by year end. Ukraine’s Finance Ministry and National Bank (NBU) “official inflation forecast” for 2016 is12% (the same forecast made at the start of 2015). We at the IMF Group, after… Read More »2016 inflation forecast