Results of May, based on statistics on the impact of the coronavirus crisis (COVID-19) on Ukraine’s economy and the balance of payments, as well as influenced by the positive signal on loan allocation by the IMF, improved our YE 2020 exchange rate based on our forecast model of Ukraine’s balance… Read More »June – Monthly Update For Current Year 2020 Exchange Rate Forecast
Official release of the Independent Group of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting Ukraine Economic Outlook: The following calculation was made on the basis of a recalculation of energy import volumes in 2019, taking into account the seasonal factor (monthly) for coal, oil and gas prices for futures quotes until the end… Read More »Ukraine can save $ 5,7 bln on energy import
(Monthly advisory for clients, with a special section on recommendations for financial authorities: Special ed.) 28.01.2020 Mykhailo Kukhar, Grigory Kukuruza, Mykola Lesyk, Adrian Pantiukhov Independent group of macroeconomic analysis and forecasting Ukraine Economic Outlook Even before the publication of complete statistical data for 2019 available to business and the public,… Read More »EXPRESS-COMMENTARY BY UKRAINE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ON SHARP DOWNTURN OF COUNTRY’S ECONOMIC SITUATION: “REACTIONS BY GOVERNMENT AND CENTRAL BANK TO THE PROBLEM ARE INCOMPLETE AND INSUFFICIENT”
Our basic forecast for the development of the Ukrainian economy in 2020 provides for two scenarios: Scenario A (subject to maintaining the current NBU policy on the so-called inflation targeting), assumes maintenance of the current trend of the hryvnia revaluation.
Original source : ZN.ua – “Оптимальный сценарий земельной реформы” The sale of land will save crop yields and become the driver of GDP growth, if it is carried out according to the optimal scenario. Due to the low level of fertilizer use since 2000, the humus content in soils has… Read More »Optimal scenario for land reform